Now, run-offs will propel missed approaches down embankmentswhich will really test recovery shots. There are not many places that I'll roster Zach Johnson but sitting at $6500 on DraftKings and knowing his track record at Bay Hill, it's hard to ignore. The play: NBA, Pelicans money line over Trail Blazers The odds/wafer: +105 ($30 to win $31.50) The book: BetMGM Time/TV: 10:10 p.m. (Bally Sports) Our take: Throughout the course of our daily best . Atop the FedEx Cup rankings, he has a knack for diving deep, which will come in handy as he is one of our PGA picks. After starting out the season on a high note, the two-time PGA Tour winner looked downright beat the past two weeks, failing to finish inside the top-40 in back-to-back weeks. Though still volatile, hes starting to get a hair more consistentposting three top-five finishes in his past eight starts. Sony Open: Matt Kuchar. Whats the secret of longevity and good golf? THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, PGA Championship 2022 DFS picks: A surprising fade and bold plays from our data scientist, significant restoration by Gil Hanse and his team a few years ago, Fans are freaking out over the beer (and water) prices at Southern Hills. Bay Hill Club and Lodge will once again host this great event, which will begin on Thursday morning. CrazyTown, USA. Kim has the third-best odds behind Sungjae Im and Hideki Matsuyama but I love his fit here. He gained 7.86 strokes ball-striking at Riviera, the most in a single event since his win in Memphis, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Many sportsbooks now provide a variety of live golf odds because of the proliferation of online apps. Weve been tracking Thomas for weeks, and he seemed poised for an upturn. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. 2023 WM Phoenix Open odds, expert picks to win, course history All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. Golf betting record in 2023 through Pebble Beach: 7-17-1, -3.114 units (0-5 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets) One-and-Done record in 2023: $553,137.22 (Matthew Fitzpatrick at Pebble, $0) PGA Tour. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. At Sedgefield Country Club, Will Zalatoris, who finished 20th at the Rocket Mortgage Classic on July 28-August 1. Pick to Win WM Phoenix Open (0.5 Units): Xander Schauffele (+1400). Then it just comes down to the putter. They will keep updating their pre-round odds based on the current standings and results on the leaderboards. I love buying in on players that are coming off a week where they gained strokes in all four major categories, which is the exact type of well-rounded approach that is extremely necessary at a course like Bay Hill. It is impossible to keep up with all of the PGA Tours upcoming tournaments without our golf expert picks. And even on prestigious stages, such as the Masters Tournament, when players like Charl Schwartzel and Angel Cabrera won against the odds of +10000 and +12500. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. Our PGA Tour expert picks for the wildest event in golf as we break down our WM Phoenix Open picks, best bets and more for the first elevated event. Hes also earned five top-15 finishes in 2022, so hes comfortable with his name in contention. He won the Masters by a slender margin, giving him his first green jacket. Bay Hill leader Kurt Kitayama has multiple flattering nicknames Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week: Rory McIlroy (10-1, BetMGM) Im not sure how we ended up here after his insane 2022, but at the end of February Rorys already the forgotten man. Thanks to live-in-play wagering, its possible to bet on a tournament even after its already begun. Safest Option: Matt Fitzpatrick ($7,900 DraftKings | $10,300 FanDuel). Mayakoba: Thomas Detry. Hes one of the longest hitters on tour and has gained strokes around-the-green in five straight. Both of those skill-sets should be critical at Southern Hills, plus add in the WD last week due to injuryand there are more questions than answers for Koepka. Hes been electric at Bay Hill, teeing it up 11 times. Humbug. After this weeks Wyndham Championship, you must be in the top 125 of the FedEx Cup standings to qualify. RELATED:Fans are freaking out over the beer (and water) prices at Southern Hills, Most Likely To Disappoint: Branden Grace ($6,700 DraftKings | $7,900 FanDuel). Scheffler, the worlds top golfer, will have to contend with the likes of Jon Rahm, Collin Morikawa, Rory McIlroy, and Justin Thomas, as well as the rest of the top 10. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. This includes the United States, to who they believe will make the cut, or even who they believe will shoot an ace. Thats one of his better stretches since early 2020. His approach play since the U.S. Open has been pedestrian, but hes gained over seven strokes in his past seven roundsthe rate we would expect from Thomas. Hes clearly building toward a win with three top-six finishes in four starts in 2023, and if his short game continues to look like it did at the Genesis, that win is coming very soon. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+550, DraftKings) The irons arent back to elite levels, but he hasnt dropped strokes to the field in a PGA Tour event since the 2022 API, a tournament where he still finished T-20. All eyes will be on the 2022 Wyndham Championship, which concludes the PGA Tour regular season this week. February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. This new column, branched off from Horses For Courses, will focus on the statistical background of the PGA picks. We warned you guys after Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once this panel gets hot, we tend to run hot! You can sense the confidence growing in Ryder, who earned a T-4 in La Jolla and a T-20 in Phoenix, two stern tests of golf. Bay Hill Club & Lodge will be. There was a world in which I considered Tom Kim as an outright pick this week. A year after being named PGA Tour Rookie of the Year, he has yet to win a tournament on the professional circuit. The Official Ratings Are In: PGA Tour Trounces LIV Golf in First Head As for Conners, hes been somewhat shockingly bad of late, most noticeably at Riviera where he lost four strokes tee-to-green, something he hasnt done since the Memorial in June of 2021. At the beginning of the season, sportsbooks will give you value odds on players to win future tour events, as there is no form to base the latest golf odds. All of the major golf tournaments, as well as additional significant PGA and European Tour events, are covered by us. Players Picks The 10 Best Pga Tour Courses Courses Golf Digest The two time major winner . Here are my favorite plays and fades this week at the 2022 PGA Championship. 2023 Fantasy Golf Rankings, News and Draft Kit DraftKings PGA: Arnold Palmer Invitational Picks and Strategy Rory McIlroy has quite the track record at Bay Hill, and that garners him a spot among Len Hochberg's picks to click in this week's contests on DraftKings. Andy Lack is a PGA Tour writer and podcaster from New York City who now resides in Los Angeles. American Express: Brian Harman. PGA Tour . Gehman: Sahith Theegala (+100) over Shane Lowry (DraftKings) Theegala is getting more consistent as a professional, making the cut in nine straight events while earning four top-10s in the process. Below, we look at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds and make our PGA Read more on usatoday.com. You can almost always place a wager on the tournaments winner at a sportsbook. Hes a great fit and, even if he doesnt cash an outright for us, hes still been good enough at this event to get us a nice chunk. Rules of Golf Review: How do I find my nearest point of relief? At one point in the spring, Lowry displayed some of the best golf of his career at one point, and victory seemed to be within reach. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. Looking at the top-four finishers at The Honda Classic, you would've thought this event was being held at the same time as a marquee golf tournament (like the Puerto Rico Open will be going against the Arnold Palmer Invitational this coming week).. 2 Scottie Scheffler is back to. With just one missed cut and two finishes outside the Top 30 in a total of 15 starts abroad. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Morikawa, who came close for me at both Torrey and Riviera. High Upside: Kevin Na ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,200 FanDuel). It appears that IM has found his form again after stuttering on his journey to Scotland following his backdoor runner-up finish at the 3M Open. 72-hole winning score: 279.5 (Par 288) In total, 27 of the top 30 players in the Official World Golf Rankings tee it up at Bay Hill. Bermuda: Russell Knox. The PGA TOUR has started its 2022-23 golf season, while LIV Golf has just wrapped up its inaugural season, and . Its difficult to predict who will win the tournament outright. Jon Rahm, defending champion Scottie Scheffler, Justin Thomas, and many, many more will be ready to take on TPC Scottsdale this week in front of the always-raucous crowd. Over the past 36 rounds, Rahm is gaining a staggering 3.01 strokes per roundthe most in the field, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Lack: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) I have been surprised to see Cameron Young slide so quickly in the betting markets, despite nearly winning two majors last year and emerging as the best player in the world without a PGA Tour victory. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Adding to . If youve been reading this column over the past month or so, youve been cashing tickets. A top-five finish for Zalatoris would be his second in his last five starts. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. Follow him on Twitter: @ThePME. The Irishmans best finishes came at the Masters (T3), Honda Classic (runner-up), and RBC Heritage. The Grant Thornton Invitational (Dec. 4-10) will team 16 PGA . He just needs to translate that global success to the PGA Tour, but his skill set should match up to Riviera. PGA DFS Lineup Picks - Daily Fantasy Golf Sleepers - RotoBaller Follow him on Twitter: @adplacksports. There are plenty of Augusta National vibes in the terrain at Southern Hills, so the 2021 Masters champion should be very comfortable. Due to the big field sizes and the four-day format, many longshots win or come close to victory on the tour. The 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando is next up on the PGA Tour schedule, the third designated event in four weeks. American Express: Brian Harman. During that MC, he gained 2.96 strokes on approach, the 19th-best mark of anyone in the first two rounds. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! For the sake of placing a wager, every online sportsbook makes use of geolocation technology to determine your current location. Luckily for Thomas, he has both. Hes played this event four times and has yet to make the cut. Hes separating himself from his peers on approach and with the putter, two skills that will be rewarded again this week. Each of the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas. I expect the scale to tip back in McIlroys favor this week, who has never finished worse than 27th, with three top fives and a win in eight appearances at Bay Hill. He has four top-25 finishes in his past five starts at the PGA Championship. Hes won five times in the past 18 months and possesses all the skills to win at any course. 2023 Genesis Invitational picks, predictions, field, odds: PGA insider The well-rounded nature of Niemanns metrics, gaining strokes in all four major categories over his past 30 rounds, should provide him with everything he needs to contend this week. Niemann has every shot in his repertoire, which will certainly be required around Southern Hills. It hosted a PGA Championship in 1995, a U.S. Senior Open in 1998 and a U.S. Hideki Matsuyama ($8,200 DraftKings | $10,100 FanDuel). In his last appearance at this tournament, he ended the first round with a score that was in the top five best of the day. We have a Privacy Policy and Cookie Policy. McClure's optimal PGA DFS strategy also includes rostering Max Homa at $9,700 on DraftKings and $11,600 on FanDuel. I love to pounce on players that are coming off an MC in which they gained strokes in both ball-striking categories, which was the case for Matsuyama at Riviera. The 2021 Valspar Championship field includes past winners of this event who are fetching long odds this week, such as Kevin Streelman (66-1), Gary Woodland (70-1), Charl Schwartzel (100-1) and. Finau had a stretch of 10 straight events in which he gained strokes putting, but that came to an end with losses in two straight. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+105) over Cameron Young (DraftKings) Fleetwood has a long history of success at Bay Hill and while Cam Young looked good in his first start at API, hes been one of the worst-performing wind players in the field. At the same time, though, JT hasnt finished outside of the Top 20 at TPC Scottsdale in each of the last five years and has been Top 10 three times and Top 5 twice in that stretch. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) Rorys strokes-gained numbers at Bay Hill are insanehes gained nearly 75 strokes to the field in his eight appearances here. Powers, Golf Digest: Shane Lowry (65-1, FanDuel) Last week he was the toast of the town as the second favorite, and he wound up finishing top five. Hes not backing down. So lets dive in. He held the lead at this event in 2021 heading into the back nine on Sunday. Latest Golf News - PGA TOUR Wyndham Clark ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,500 FanDuel). Sam Burns ($9,100 DraftKings | $10,600 FanDuel). There are several propositional bets available in addition to the more traditional bets that may be found for every tournament. The tour plan, to go into effect in 2024, includes changing certain larger-purse events to have smaller fields and no cuts. The MC at Riviera was mainly due to his short game. Top-10 results from the Honda Classic: Mayo: 1 for 1 (Eric Cole +900); Hennessey: 1 for 1 (Chris Kirk +330); Everybody else: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Gdula: 7 for 17 (up 17.6 units); Mayo: 6 for 16 (up 12.1 units); Gehman: 5 for 17 (up 9.55 units); Lack: 3 for 8 (up 2.9 units); Hennessey: 4 for 17 (up 2.85 units); Powers: 2 for 17 (down 8.9 units); Caddie: 2 for 17 (down 8.95 units). Sedgefield Country Club hosts the Wyndham Championship this week, where FedEx Cup playoff positions are on the line. By continuing to use this site, you are providing consent to it. Gdula: Tony Finau (+240, FanDuel) Its such a good field that even the top 10 will be hard for long shots to squeeze into with much success. Additionally, Youngs short game has been in the toilet since the calendar flipped to 2023. Hes just six starts removed from gaining nearly six strokes to the field on approach in Houston, and if he has anywhere close to that result with his elite off-the-tee game, plus his prowess on grainy Bermuda greens, he can absolutely follow Chris Kirk as back-to-back Georgia Bulldog victories. Take a look at how to determine which is suitable for your needs. RELATED:How Tiger Woods could make a huge jump in the Official World Golf Ranking this week, Jhonattan Vegas ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,600 FanDuel). But no, this was a standalone PGA Tour event that saw just three of the world's top 20 golfers participating. Sahith Theegala ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,600 FanDuel). Hatton has historically been a good iron player, gaining 0.25 strokes per round over his past 100 rounds. Depending on the site you use, you can bet on a player to finish in the top five, ten, or even forty at a tournament, and a variety of other markets. Cantlay hasnt fared well in majors during his career, recording only two top 10s in 20 starts. AT&T Pebble Beach: Seamus Power. Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. His 27 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are second-most all-time. betting. I love that he is now traveling to a course that will put less pressure on his putter, and I expect him to build upon his 13th-place finish last year. The only thing that scares me about Justin Thomas is that his approach play in his most recent starts hasnt been up to his lofty standards. McIlroy hasnt had his best stuff over the past two weeks, while Rahm has won five times in last eight starts. RELATED:PGA Championship 2022: The top 100 golfers competing at Southern Hills, ranked. All rights reserved. Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. He might not win this loaded event, but hes worth a look for some placement finishes at what is sure to be a good number. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) For the first time this year, Zalatoris looks like himself again. Genesis: Justin Thomas. 2023 Australian Golf Digest. Powers, Golf Digest: Chris Kirk (+600, DraftKings) Coming off his first win in eight years, Kirks confidence should be riding high. Lowry has a good chance, based on the PGA expert picks this week, to capitalize on his strong play with a victory. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions In the last year, hes lost 0.24 strokes putting per round and has lost 0.09 per round in the short-game categories combined. What better place to do that than with our WM Phoenix Open picks for this week. Read more about Gambling Safety here. Now were getting a little bold. He is one of our PGA tours picks this week. Shriners: Sungjae Im. The weird extended weekend at Pebble Beach has concluded with Justin Rose as the champion not great for our PGA Tour expert picks and read on the tournament but now we move on to golfs party in the desert as we deliver WM Phoenix Open picks and best bets. Its a good number if nothing else. Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. Aside from winning the Shriners Childrens Open last fall, I have been somewhat quiet since then but havent ceased putting up impressive numbers. LIV Golf star Peter Uihlein has revealed that he is 'much happier' playing on the breakaway circuit, after things didn't 'work out' over on the PGA Tour.. Uihlein has had a successful start to life as a LIV golfer, having secured three top-five finishes - including two runner-up spots - in 2022, whilst also finishing third in the season-long individual ranking. Hes played six majors as a professional and has notched four top 10s. It won't be all fun. Houston Open: Jason Day. With the importance of those skills at Riviera, it should be little surprise that he has missed the cut in all three trips to this event. Pick To Win: Keith Mitchell ($6,600 DraftKings | $8,100 FanDuel). Meronk has been padding his resume on the DP World Tour recently, winning the Australian Open, finishing T-10 in Abu Dhabi and earning a T-4, most recently, at the Ras Al Khaimah Championship. Gehman: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) There are more questions than answers in Thomas game right now as he continues to show inconsistencies with his best attributehis approach play. In the last four events hes played in, hes made the cut. Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 props, odds, field: Expert head-to-head Price range: $9,000 and above High Upside: Patrick Cantlay ($9,100 DraftKings | $11,200 FanDuel) Cantlay hasn't. About Us Tournament futures are the most popular since even the best players have favorable golf betting odds for punters. That continues a streak that started with Brandon Gdula correctly predicting Scottie Schefflers win at the WM Phoenix Open (13-1) and Rick Gehman hitting Jon Rahm at the Genesis Invitational (+750). The PGA Championship will be held at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Oklahoma. Caddie: Max Homa (+130) over Scottie Scheffler (DraftKings) Homas ball-striking is in an elite category right now, and theres no reason to believe he shouldnt keep up his hot form. Farmers: Will Zalatoris. 2022 The American Express odds, field: Surprising PGA picks Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our red-hot experts make a The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. The Florida Swing kicks into high gear this week as a world-class field steps foot onto Bay Hill Club & Lodge for the 2023 Arnold Palmer 48,000. Latest golf news from PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, KornFerry TOUR Farmers: Jason Day. He drives the ball beautifully, ranked inside the top 10 in SG/off the tee this season, and he hits his long irons very well. ), RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? 2022 BMW Championship: PGA Tour playoff picks and odds - New York Post Clark can check off all three of those boxes! Compared to other top players, he has much less experience at Bay Hillplaying here just once, finishing T-49 in 2015. In terms of pure value, youd be hard pressed to find a better bet on the board than the former Masters champion. Its the first elevated event of the PGA Tour season, meaning that we have a loaded field with eight of the Top 10 golfers in the world teeing it up, including Rory McIlroy making his first start stateside in 2023. From Golf Digest Architecture Editor emeritus Ron Whitten: I've always been fascinated by the design of Bay Hill, Arnold Palmer's home course for over 45 years (although Tiger Woods owns it, competitively-speaking, as he's won there eight times.) Thats going to be half the battle at Southern Hills and should allow Mitchell to often play from the correct position. He held the lead at this event in 2021 heading into the back nine on Sunday. When it comes to attacking the Sedgefield CC course, the South Korean has the ideal skill set, as he frequently splits fairways and ignites his scoring clubs. He won this event in 2016 and has four top-25s in his past six trips. CJ Cup: Tyrrell Hatton. Only he and Jon Rahm rank top-10 in SG/tee-to-green and SG/putting over the past 50 rounds, according to datagolf. The Cheat Sheet provides DraftKings fantasy golf players with course info, player history and the most noteworthy trends of the week to help them with their roster selections. Here are my favorite plays and fades this week at the 2022 PGA Championship. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. But given how well hes played in 2022 from the tee to the green, a putter that works for him might be able to change that. DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook are two of the most popular apps for online sports betting in states that allow PGA expert picks to sleepers. PGA DFS Playbook Arnold Palmer Invitational: Top DraftKings & FanDuel Usually. Genesis: Justin Thomas. Safest Option: Mito Pereira ($6,500 DraftKings | $8,000 FanDuel). Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's . But before we get there, we have to take an unfortunate look back at our picks and best bets from last week. Since the Phoenix Open, hes gained a total of 10.8 strokes on approach, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. But its the site of an annual PGA Tour event, which is even better exposure to the golf world. Nicklaus: 2024 PGA Tour Schedule Will Help the Honda Classic's Field That makes four top 15s worldwide in his past five startsall with gains off-the-tee and on approach. You must be of legal age in the state where you are betting on golf. Vegas struggles around-the-greens, and hes dismal once he gets on the putting surfaces. Lowry is coming off a good week in Palm Beach Gardens but hasnt been able to solve Bay Hill. Vegas has played well in 2023, earning a T-23 in Phoenix and T-25 in La Jolla. The winner hasnt been better than 12 under in any of the past four years, with two single-digit under par victors. RELATED: Breaking down Tiger Woods' record at Riviera Country Club, Riviera Country Club is one of the best courses on the schedule, demanding precision from tee through green. He has two top-17 finishes in his past three trips to this event and is coming off a T-10 in Phoenix last week. But its easy to see why we all like Z this week. He was T13 previously but now hes coming to the WM Phoenix Open where hes been nails and is a phenomenal overall fit with his polished all-around game.