RELATED: What to make of LIV Golfs tumultuous inaugural season. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at And for a guy whos been batting about .500 for four seasons, its notable that hes 7-for-11 this season with a T25 at Torrey Pines and a T29 at Riviera. Okay, I admit that it reminds me of the sixth at Hazeltine National, another Trent Jones product, but I don't think Wilson picked Trent's pocket on this one, as both courses were built about the same time, in the early 1960s. Scheffler will be rusty coming in and only finished 45th in the one event he has played in the last nine weeks. Max Homa and Talor Gooch. Another team with great chemistry. and synopsis provided by Jason Rouslin. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Russell Knox (+750, DraftKings) Knox comes into this event ranked 18th in the FanShareSports Course Suitability Ranking this week so its not surprising to see that he already has three top-10 finishes to his name here at El Camaleon. Stadium Course at PGA West, Trending: 1. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be (Photo: Erich Schlegel-USA TODAY Sports). If youre look for win equity in the 40-1+ range, look no further than J-Day. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). Hes already proven that it works at Bay Hill, too. Thats a tough scene. With winds projected to gust, a couple of confident sharpshooters will surprise despite the length of the track. The Scotsman ranks seventh in the field this week for Opportunities Gained over the last two months and this is the exact style of course where Knox can start taking these opportunities. The pair of Cameron Smith and Marc Leishman enter as the defending champions, while the betting favorites are Viktor Hovland and Collin Morikawa (+600). Before you lock in any 2023 American Express picks, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald. 2022 Stokastic.com LLC. Set a budget. Against the Grain: A look at this weeks projected ownership from Jason Rouslin, and some against the grain plays to help provide variance in your GPP lineups. He held the lead for much of the Farmers Insurance Open, finishing T-4, before consecutive T-20 finishes in Phoenix and Los Angeles. For the first time since his back injury last year, Zalatoris looked like himself again in his most recent start. Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. Now hell head to Bay Hill with little experience to bank on. We can argue about how hampered he is, but he has some of the best tournament history in the field. This site is strictly intended for adults (18+) Thats the recipe for his two top 10s and no finish worse than 22nd in three starts. Torrey Pines South 5. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," (above) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make The Approach: A picks and preview article from Nolan Kelly that uses some of @Awesemos projection for the week! Gdula: Matt Kuchar (60-1, FanDuel) Kuchar has flashed upside in reasonable spots over the past year, and he now heads to a course that can reward him for being accurate off the tee and not penalize him too much for being a shorter hitter. The pairs will need to make a lot of them to have a chance to win. With winds projected to gust, a couple of confident sharpshooters will surprise despite the length of the track. Justin Thomas ($9,600 DraftKings | $11,300 FanDuel). It should be a birdie-fest this week when several of the world's top golfers descend on La Quinta, Calif. for the PGA Tour's 2023 American Express. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. These odds, in a tournament where we typically see a few Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. Will Zalatoris tees off on the tenth during the third round of the World Golf Championships-Dell Technologies Match Play golf tournament. Brent Grant ($6,400 DraftKings | $7,600 FanDuel). BetMGM + Stokastic Promo Get 1 Free Month! ET, with world No. While Im happy for him, Im not buying it just yet. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. Taylor Montgomery ($7,400 DraftKings | $9,100 FanDuel). Caves Valley Golf Club, 2. Recent form, plus some strong vibes at El Camaleon, have me leaning with him over the Bermuda champ. The Players Championship will be contested next week without its biggest draw. The 26-year-old hasn't been great in this event the past two years, but he did finish third in 2020. Get Golf picks Lowry did get back on track last week in Los Angeles, finishing T-14. Gehman: Brendon Todd (+500, Bet365) Todd has found magic with his irons twice already during this season. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Davis Riley Its like a rite of passage across the United States. Spaun +19000Harris English +19000Byeong Hun An +20000Justin Suh +21000Patrick Rodgers +21000Taylor Pendrith +21000Joel Dahmen +21000Sam Ryder +21000Taylor Moore +22000Emiliano Grillo +22000Kurt Kitayama +22000Joseph Bramlett +23000Danny Willett +23000Ben Griffin +24000Garrick Higgo +24000Francesco Molinari +25000. F1 DFS is BACK! On paper, El Camaleon should be an excellent course for him except its been horrible there. His putter is better than average, but it won't keep him in contention. Jon Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the latest Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Kevin Tway ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,100 FanDuel). Parlay Calculator, Copyright USA TODAY Sportsbook Wire 2023. Hes now giving strokes back to the field on the putting surfaces in seven of his past nine measured starts. Hes played this event once, finishing T-17 last year while losing 5.24 strokes in the short game. Its a stat line that is full of red flags. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above), where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. The 2023 Genesis Invitational. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Cantlay/Schauffele (8.9 percent), 2. Combine that with a wild driver, and Spieth will likely be playing out of the thick rough often at Bay Hill, narrowing his path to the top of the leaderboard. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. Affiliate Program Refer Friends & Earn! (Photo: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports). The Korn Ferry trademark is also a registered trademark, and is used in the Korn Ferry Tour logo with permission. See full The American Express 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here. The PGA Tour begins the Florida swing this week with the Honda Classic, which will once again play at PGA National (par 70, 7,125 yards, The PGA Tour continues this week with the first stop on the Florida swing and the Honda Classic. Rahm, who won this tournament in 2018 and rallied for victory in his last outing at the Sentry, is the 11-2 favorite in Caesars Sportsbook's latest The American Express 2023 odds. And which massive long shot has a chance to stun the golfing world? Accuracy and irons can most definitely prevail at Mayakoba as long as you make a few putts, and Grillo has actually gained with the putter in eight of his past nine starts; good for five top 10s over that stretch. Hes gained strokes on approach in seven straight starts, something he hasnt done since the fall of 2017 when he was ranked inside the top 10 in the world. RELATED: Honda Classic picks 2023: Our experts love this sneaky good iron player at PGA National, Joseph Bramlett ($7,500 DraftKings | $9,300 FanDuel). The 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando is next up on the PGA Tour schedule, the third designated event in four weeks. Mayo: Maverick McNealy (18-1, DraftKings) Mav has a good chance to win, but I cannot in good conscience bet him when hes the same price as Morikawa. If he can just make a few putts, which is conceivable on the slow, paspalum greens, his irons and accuracy should have him hoisting a novelty check. Hes been good not great, but we are being asked to pay for greatness at this price tag. The uncommon paspalum greens could level the playing field for him as a putter, and that could boost him up big time. His last four starts, not including the staggered-start Tour Championship, resulted in two wins and a T-5. It will play long at more than 7,400 yards, and thick rough off the fairways and around the greens will provide a true test. Hes very inconsistent and has struggled putting all four rounds together, but you can see hes growing and getting more comfortable on the PGA Tour. Thats his second top-25 finish in his first four starts during this campaign. Caddie: Jason Day (45-1, DraftKings) Theres something quietly brewing right now with the former World No. CJ Cup: Matt Fitzpatrick. Kim); Powers: 1 for 1 (Detry (+110) over McCarthy); Alldrick: 1 for 1 (Detry (-125) over Meronk; Mayo: 0 for 1; Gdula: 0 for 1; Gehman: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 5-1-0 (up 3.8 units); Gehman: 4-2-0 (up 1.65 units); Caddie: 3-3-0 (down 0.1 units); Alldrick: 4-2-0 (up 1.38 units); Powers: 2-4-0 (down 1.85 units); Mayo: 1-4-0 (down 3.1 units); Gdula: 0-5-1 (down 5 units). He nailed the Houston Open, backing Tony Finau to win at 25-1, and is up almost seven units on his plays overall, a profit of nearly $700 for $100 bettors. Rory McIlroy, No. Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) I do worry about him coming in highly motivated after losing the No. All Rights Reserved. This hasnt been the run of golf that Conners was hoping for this season. Scottish Open Picks Jordan Spieth often excels the week before a Major and loves the links. Its not surprising then to see that he ranks fourth in the FanShareSports Course Suitability Ranking this week. Powers, Golf Digest: Thomas Detry (-110) over Seamus Power (DraftKings) Not sure going against last weeks winner in a matchup has ever worked out in my favor, but I feel good about this one. Hes gained strokes with the flatstick in six of his last seven measured events. SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. Si Woo Kim, fresh off his Sony Open victory last week, also will compete, alongside the likes of Xander Schauffele, Will Zalatoris and Tom Kim. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for , where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. He came to Golf Digests betting panel after previously writing for , the Score and GolfWRX. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. From tee-to-green hes elite and now hes making massive gains with his putter. Trinity Forest Golf Club, 3. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, World Wide Technology Championship picks 2022: Morikawa or Finau? Poston. Cole was impressive and a great story last week, but theres a big red flag in his stat profile. PGA DFS Optimizer Picks Arnold Palmer Invitational: Jordan Spieth at a Ball Striking Venue is a Lock, 2023 Honda Classic First Round Leader Picks: Garrick Higgo Can Surprise Everyone, 2023 Genesis Invitational First Round Leader Picks: Jordan Spieth Looks Ready to Start Fast, 2023 WM Phoenix Open First Round Leader Picks: Russell Henley Could Sneak Up On Everyone. RELATED: Worldwide Technology Championship DFS picks 2022: Scottie Schefflers glaring weakness. It just doesnt need to. Stars are everywhere on the leaderboard heading into the weekend at Bay Hill. Mayo: Adam Long (-110) over J.J. Spaun (DraftKings) Long hasnt had much juice recently but he is the prototype for a solid result at Mayakoba. How to Sports Bet 101: What is a Point Spread? Luke List ($7,300 DraftKings | $9,000 FanDuel). His form is great, ranking second in the field for SG/total over the last two years and 11th for SG/total over the last two months. Sungjae Im ($10,700 DraftKings | $11,900 FanDuel). The final round will be played on PGA West's Stadium Course after a 54-hole cut. The ball striking? TPC Summerlin 8. He has two top-five finishes in his past four trips to this event. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) This price is too low for someone who has played just one event in the last nine weeks. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Golf DFS Fades & Pivots: Cameron Young Primed for Breakthrough, Fantasy Golf Sleepers & GPP Picks for 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups This Week, RSM Classic Data & Stats | PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups, DraftKings Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational | Jason Day, FanDuel Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational | Scottie Scheffler, PGA DFS Top 5 Sleepers: The Northern Trust DraftKings + FanDuel Picks This Week with Phil Mickelson | Today, 8/17, Top 5 PGA Fades: The Northern Trust PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings + FanDuel This Week | Bryson DeChambeau, Top 5 PGA DFS Value Plays: The Northern Trust PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings + FanDuel with Shane Lowry | Today, 8/17, Top 5 PGA Fades: Wyndham Championship PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings + FanDuel This Week | Hideki Matsuyama, PGA Championship DFS Picks Final Round DraftKings Fantasy Golf Picks & Predictions, Above the Cut: PGA DFS Advice & Daily Fantasy Golf Picks for the Wyndham Championship on DraftKings & FanDuel, The Stokastic PGA DFS Content Schedule | When and Where to Find All Our Free & Premium Content, PGA DFS: DraftKings & FanDuel Strategy Guide. Scheffler has four straight top-10 finishes, including a runner-up at the Hero World Challenge.You can see who he is backing this week at The American Express 2023 at SportsLine. Hes also got decent history at Mayakoba, having finished T-3 here two years ago. We are only five starts removed from his win at the RSM Classic, and he earned a top 10 at the Honda Classic last year despite losing four strokes with the flatstick. Even at 38 years of age, hes consistently among the longest hitters off the tee, and because of that, hes among the most accurate on approach. Thats, by far, the best mark in this field. Listen to the Twilight 9 podcast! He gained 7.86 strokes ball-striking at Riviera, the best mark since his victory in Memphis last year. McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm to finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions, the American Express and the Genesis Invitational. He shot better than 71 once in the six rounds. Each of the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas. Though he was never really at the top on Sunday with a chance to win, he played great in the runner-up finish and that should translate to another chance to win here. The model also included J.T. section: | slug: arnold-palmer-invitational-2023-props-odds-field-expert-head-to-head-golf-matchup-picks-pga-best-bets | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Sahith Theegala. 2023 Honda Classic Best Bets & Predictions: Fade Matt Kuchar? Draft Wingman for DraftKings, Yahoo, ESPN, CBS, FFPC & More, Simulate your Fantasy Football Draft Against Awesemo's AI, The Fantasy Football Rankings Cheatsheet Hub, Breakouts, Sleepers, Deep Sleepers, and Busts, PGA DFS Rankings for DraftKings, FanDuel & Yahoo, Fantasy Golf: PGA DFS Projections for DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo, PGA DFS Projections for Showdown and Weekend Daily Fantasy Golf, Top Golfers Tool PGA DFS Simulation Results for DraftKings, FanDuel and Yahoo, PGA Weather Splits for Daily Fantasy Golf and Betting, Daily Fantasy Golf: Power Rankings and Matchups, PGA DFS Pro Plays for Fantasy Golf Lineups on DraftKings + FanDuel. The model was also all over Jon Rahm's (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Kevin Yu ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,600 FanDuel) Andy Lyons No matter the finishing position, you can Before this week's PGA Tour event, McDonald has locked in his best bets for the 2023 The American Express.
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